PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6980940714818120e024De4B1C1667055DBbAd28-1777223051102

0x6980940714818120e024de4b1c1667055dbbad28

Realised P&L
$-74.92
Volume
$16.1k
Markets traded
438
Open portfolio
$43.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded438
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.2500.385$1.54+$0.54
MLB: 4-homer game in 2026? · Yes0.3400.490$1.44+$0.44
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.135$1.35+$0.35
Will Shrek 5 be delayed? · Yes0.2000.260$1.30+$0.30
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder? · Yes0.2000.250$1.25+$0.25
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0630.073$1.16+$0.16
Diddy released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.2000.224$1.12+$0.12
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · No0.6000.655$1.09+$0.09
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2830.265$0.98$0.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1300.125$0.96$0.04
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0210.019$0.93$0.07
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.045$0.91$0.09
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat? · Yes0.1400.125$0.89$0.11
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? · No0.4400.375$0.85$0.15
Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026? · Yes0.0900.070$0.78$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 09:29Will Shrek 5 be delayed?BUY0.2$1.00
07-24 09:283M Open: Albatross?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
07-24 09:28Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-24 09:27Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
07-24 09:27Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
07-24 09:27Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
07-24 09:26Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?BUY0.033999968$1.00
07-24 09:26Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?BUY0.0150316604$1.00
07-24 09:26Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-24 09:24FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?SELL0.53$1.51
07-20 12:09Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?SELL0.35$1.52
07-16 13:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-16 13:19Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.1309998997$1.00
07-16 13:19Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-16 13:18Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?BUY0.0571428571$1.00