0x6980940714818120e024De4B1C1667055DBbAd28-1777223051102
0x6980940714818120e024de4b1c1667055dbbad28
- Realised P&L
- $-74.92
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $43.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.35at 0.034US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.23at 0.104Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$5.80at 0.147Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
- +$5.55at 0.051Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
- +$5.44at 0.250Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 09:29 | Will Shrek 5 be delayed? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:28 | 3M Open: Albatross? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:28 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:27 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:27 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:27 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:26 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:26 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.0150316604 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:26 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:24 | FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.51 |
| 07-20 12:09 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.52 |
| 07-16 13:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:19 | Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.1309998997 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:19 | Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:18 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0571428571 | $1.00 |