LMDARKOWL2
0x698644f10ded88c55882c2acc62ebb8550265585
- Realised P&L
- $-174.34
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 570
- Open portfolio
- $113.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded570
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.57at 0.417Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?
- +$69.45at 0.557Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?
- +$60.85at 0.593Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 13?
- +$43.00at 0.520Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?
- +$42.49at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.95 |
| 08-03 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.84 |
| 08-03 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1368906115 | $1.59 |
| 08-03 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.94 |
| 08-03 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.68 | $2.97 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.88 |
| 08-03 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.30 |
| 08-02 23:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.93 |
| 08-02 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.92 | $17.72 |
| 08-02 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.93 | $15.33 |
| 08-02 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.1558152554 | $2.23 |
| 08-02 06:28 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.8399999733 | $3.77 |
| 08-02 06:18 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.8399999826 | $3.87 |
| 08-02 06:18 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.8699999933 | $3.87 |