PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LMDARKOWL2

0x698644f10ded88c55882c2acc62ebb8550265585

Realised P&L
$-174.34
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
570
Open portfolio
$113.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded570
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? · No0.5800.385$19.25$9.75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? · No0.5901.000$17.49+$7.17
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.8300.979$8.23+$1.25
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.8300.968$8.14+$1.16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.8540.999$8.14+$1.18
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.8300.925$8.11+$0.83
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? · Yes0.8400.875$7.96+$0.32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.9000.905$7.85+$0.04
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.8650.855$7.40$0.09
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.8200.880$7.09+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.1500.125$4.17$0.83
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8500.999$3.92+$0.58
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.8880.992$3.73+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? · No0.7000.435$2.03$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.15$1.95
08-03 06:52Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?SELL0.83$16.84
08-03 05:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.1368906115$1.59
08-03 05:05Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.24$4.94
08-03 03:46Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.68$2.97
08-03 03:40Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3?SELL0.999$9.98
08-03 01:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.9$3.88
08-03 00:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.11$0.30
08-02 23:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.9$3.93
08-02 15:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2?SELL0.92$17.72
08-02 12:22Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 2?SELL0.93$15.33
08-02 10:29Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2?SELL0.1558152554$2.23
08-02 06:28Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?BUY0.8399999733$3.77
08-02 06:18Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?BUY0.8399999826$3.87
08-02 06:18Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.8699999933$3.87