Runner109
0x6a678ca367432d28cb6aa55bb6bc57d8f53bdf6f
- Realised P&L
- $37.0k
- Volume
- $58.62M
- Markets traded
- 447
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded447
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.5kat 0.719Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$8.5kat 0.421Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$5.7kat 0.029Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$5.5kat 0.306Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$4.8kat 0.043Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 19:37 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 07-31 19:37 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $130.02 |
| 07-31 19:36 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.71 |
| 07-31 19:36 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $251.21 |
| 07-31 18:56 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $535.78 |
| 07-31 18:53 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6886792453 | $182.50 |
| 07-31 18:32 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 07-31 18:11 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.80 |
| 07-31 18:09 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.7k |
| 07-31 18:00 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.56 |
| 07-31 13:08 | GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.02 |
| 07-31 08:55 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.80 |
| 07-30 18:28 | FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0266666667 | $1.60 |
| 07-30 17:40 | FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.40642 | $8.13 |
| 07-30 17:34 | FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.4068493151 | $17.82 |