PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tj69

0x6a681a1e83a5f1b49837c7a02ba1bbfd72a56679

Realised P&L
$19.5k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
991
Open portfolio
$15.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded991
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.723$7.2k+$2.2k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.278$2.8k$2.2k
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9000.971$1.3k+$97.25
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6430.855$641.12+$159.04
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? · No0.8220.885$358.57+$25.46
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.8830.988$296.40+$31.40
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7600.790$236.69+$9.00
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.4400.945$189.00+$101.00
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8730.929$185.80+$11.21
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? · No0.8420.920$184.00+$15.54
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7490.880$157.90+$23.45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.7200.755$151.00+$7.00
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9750.972$146.20$0.53
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6450.585$117.00$12.00
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? · No0.6800.660$112.62$3.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 21:38Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?SELL0.05$23.32
07-19 22:17Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?BUY0.999$1.1k
07-19 22:02Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?BUY0.99$198.00
07-19 21:43Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?BUY0.65$650.00
07-19 21:27Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?BUY0.2$4.03
07-18 23:01Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.99$697.14
07-18 22:51Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.16
07-15 21:45Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.058$5.80
07-15 20:53Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?BUY0.95$19.00
07-14 20:35Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.04$2.70
07-13 20:53Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group L?BUY0.22$1.10
07-13 15:46World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.979$1.2k
07-13 15:34World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.972$867.85
07-13 15:32World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.977$977.00
07-12 03:42Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group B?BUY0.994$243.53