tj69
0x6a681a1e83a5f1b49837c7a02ba1bbfd72a56679
- Realised P&L
- $19.5k
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Markets traded
- 991
- Open portfolio
- $15.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded991
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.404Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$1.4kat 0.539EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.501Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$1.1kat 0.666Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.0kat 0.186Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 21:38 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $23.32 |
| 07-19 22:17 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 07-19 22:02 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score? | BUY | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.03 |
| 07-18 23:01 | Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.99 | $697.14 |
| 07-18 22:51 | Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.16 |
| 07-15 21:45 | Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.058 | $5.80 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 07-14 20:35 | Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.70 |
| 07-13 20:53 | Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group L? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 07-13 15:46 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.979 | $1.2k |
| 07-13 15:34 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.972 | $867.85 |
| 07-13 15:32 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.977 | $977.00 |
| 07-12 03:42 | Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group B? | BUY | 0.994 | $243.53 |