0x6a80945efec2e7c40955da58c1d9ed197dba1f06
- Realised P&L
- $-142.96
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $219.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.054 | $85.82 | +$10.88 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.110 | $43.72 | +$1.41 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.305 | $43.05 | +$6.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.250 | $25.77 | +$2.06 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.010 | $13.14 | −$51.91 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.085 | $7.84 | −$2.31 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.01at 0.743Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$28.19at 0.317Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?
- +$2.73at 0.275Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0603605581 | $28.13 |
| 08-02 01:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0523513207 | $9.37 |
| 08-02 01:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1099999903 | $9.41 |
| 08-01 22:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2299999699 | $4.74 |
| 08-01 22:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $18.81 |
| 08-01 22:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.04 | $18.73 |
| 08-01 22:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $18.97 |
| 08-01 22:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0405665942 | $18.72 |
| 08-01 11:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.1099999907 | $10.15 |
| 08-01 11:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1138408885 | $14.09 |
| 07-31 18:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $4.67 |
| 07-31 14:08 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999852 | $9.70 |
| 07-31 14:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.025 | $9.36 |
| 07-31 11:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $9.37 |
| 07-30 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.40 |