0x6b0ebbef2630b9a0da35594bf7ddd1911246e3ea
- Realised P&L
- $33.3k
- Volume
- $50.07M
- Markets traded
- 4,203
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,203
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.040Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$1.7kat 0.070Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.005Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$1.4kat 0.786US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.421US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:24 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.82 |
| 08-02 21:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $24.17 |
| 08-02 21:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.48 |
| 08-02 17:23 | Remote IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 08:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.72 |
| 07-28 21:57 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.89 |
| 07-28 20:28 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.20 |
| 07-28 16:43 | Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.073 | $0.36 |
| 07-28 16:40 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.12 |
| 07-28 15:44 | Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.064 | $0.32 |
| 07-28 15:43 | Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0705 | $0.70 |
| 07-28 15:43 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.12 |
| 07-28 15:28 | Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.061 | $0.30 |
| 07-28 14:26 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.07 |
| 07-28 13:21 | Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |