0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5
- Realised P&L
- $70.6k
- Volume
- $12.09M
- Markets traded
- 343
- Open portfolio
- $48.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded343
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.0kat 0.834Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
- +$10.2kat 0.539SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$8.0kat 0.808SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
- +$6.7kat 0.628Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$5.0kat 0.926Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:29 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 15:39 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.6733765259 | $305.05 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.7671100005 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 10:29 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.773 | $268.93 |
| 08-01 09:48 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | SELL | 0.8175499367 | $516.53 |
| 08-01 06:00 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.6669622008 | $721.50 |
| 08-01 05:17 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.779 | $52.98 |
| 07-31 14:31 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | SELL | 0.8699291579 | $540.31 |
| 07-31 12:19 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2591666667 | $77.75 |
| 07-31 09:41 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.7298606006 | $994.79 |
| 07-31 04:58 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.6532857926 | $1.4k |
| 07-31 03:26 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5845591081 | $1.7k |
| 07-31 02:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 07-31 02:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.1k |
| 07-30 15:16 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.6507424862 | $4.6k |