PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kira..

0x6bcaa040c3eefcd34e5069d8da0bef1aa694b60a

Realised P&L
$-400.60
Volume
$268.9k
Markets traded
762
Open portfolio
$35.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded762
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5100.710$35.50+$10.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? · Yes0.1900.005$0.25$9.25
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m? · Yes0.2140.001$0.03$10.67
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m? · Yes0.1300.001$0.02$6.47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m? · Yes0.1700.001$0.02$8.47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? · Yes0.0700.001$0.01$1.52
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m? · Yes0.0700.001$0.01$1.18
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6160.000$0.00$30.80
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$5.50
Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No0.3400.000$0.00$8.50
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m? · No0.5400.000$0.00$10.22
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m? · Yes0.1230.000$0.00$18.40
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m? · No0.4000.000$0.00$340.85
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$6.00
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico0.2310.000$0.00$75.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:25Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?SELL0.5500129002$59.26
08-02 23:42Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.26$28.02
07-30 22:02Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$25.50
07-30 00:32Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m?BUY0.214$10.70
07-29 10:04Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?SELL0.827$108.34
07-23 21:47Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?BUY0.18$6.66
07-23 21:46Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.44$13.20
07-21 16:29Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.281$28.38
06-30 18:36Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.55$19.25
06-29 23:30Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.41$40.97
06-29 23:16Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceBUY0.42$8.40
06-28 01:32Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.27$37.80
06-27 23:53Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.26$13.00
06-27 23:52Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.27$29.70
06-27 23:22Spread: Portugal (-1.5)BUY0.29$11.60