0x6c8b154ddf173760ac3916af5504d1f1f2ae645c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $856.2k
- Markets traded
- 781
- Open portfolio
- $170.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded781
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.460Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.2kat 0.491Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$2.1kat 0.658Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.460Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
- +$1.4kat 0.312Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $5.55 |
| 08-03 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:18 | ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs United Arab Emirates | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $5.95 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |