PK123
0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $1.08M
- Markets traded
- 1,346
- Open portfolio
- $12.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,346
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$637.66at 0.032Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$574.85at 0.025Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$210.40at 0.002Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
- +$203.57at 0.322Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
- +$120.50at 0.290Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:28 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.03 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.029 | $29.72 |
| 08-03 00:26 | Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $80.08 |
| 08-03 00:22 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:04 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 08-02 17:58 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 08-02 17:57 | Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.093 | $2.79 |
| 08-02 17:56 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0298833086 | $9.47 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 08-02 17:52 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 17:52 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 17:25 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.53 |
| 08-02 17:24 | Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0428361204 | $2.56 |
| 08-02 17:23 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |