PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MEPP

0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790

Realised P&L
$565.8k
Volume
$36.22M
Markets traded
1,017
Open portfolio
$455.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,017
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8260.951$81.2k+$10.7k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8260.925$70.7k+$7.5k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9141.000$42.0k+$3.6k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8750.915$25.0k+$1.1k
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8100.948$23.4k+$3.4k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6980.804$13.1k+$1.7k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.945$13.1k+$1.9k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6350.805$12.8k+$2.7k
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.7200.921$12.1k+$2.7k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6900.805$12.0k+$1.7k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8130.922$10.4k+$1.2k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7540.905$9.6k+$1.6k
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8630.885$8.1k+$206.45
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9090.945$7.3k+$279.60
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? · No0.9300.969$6.6k+$263.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.44$420.44
08-02 17:57Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.88$58.05
08-02 07:37Iran leadership change by August 31?SELL0.974$27.05
08-02 07:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.028867777$288.68
08-02 07:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.12$1.2k
08-02 07:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.5833809581$915.86
08-02 07:15US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.5406836357$340.08
08-02 07:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.4300367055$1.1k
08-02 07:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.212$633.00
08-02 07:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.1888560384$70.84
08-02 07:06US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5520263031$319.42
08-02 06:52Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.092905872$153.92
08-02 06:16Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.29$612.47
08-02 05:22Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.92$18.4k
08-02 04:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.62$1.2k