MEPP
0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
- Realised P&L
- $565.8k
- Volume
- $36.22M
- Markets traded
- 1,017
- Open portfolio
- $455.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,017
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.7kat 0.295Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$39.0kat 0.278US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$35.0kat 0.692Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$31.6kat 0.823Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$27.0kat 0.691Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $420.44 |
| 08-02 17:57 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.88 | $58.05 |
| 08-02 07:37 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | SELL | 0.974 | $27.05 |
| 08-02 07:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.028867777 | $288.68 |
| 08-02 07:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 07:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5833809581 | $915.86 |
| 08-02 07:15 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5406836357 | $340.08 |
| 08-02 07:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.4300367055 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 07:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.212 | $633.00 |
| 08-02 07:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1888560384 | $70.84 |
| 08-02 07:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5520263031 | $319.42 |
| 08-02 06:52 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.092905872 | $153.92 |
| 08-02 06:16 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $612.47 |
| 08-02 05:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.4k |
| 08-02 04:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.2k |