0x6DC51efCE4200e6E041d523d49B260f1cF1484c1-1768784864544
0x6dc51efce4200e6e041d523d49b260f1cf1484c1
- Realised P&L
- $499.83
- Volume
- $83.2k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $316.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.013 | $103.55 | +$0.44 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.090 | $73.86 | −$18.55 |
| Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.168 | $50.25 | +$20.25 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.102 | $48.69 | +$23.69 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $17.81 | −$1.19 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.068 | 0.032 | $9.31 | −$10.69 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.040 | $5.83 | −$4.17 |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.040 | $4.56 | −$5.44 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.040 | $2.24 | −$2.76 |
| Will Rot-Weiss Essen win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$604.88at 0.086Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$249.65at 0.056Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$194.84at 0.093Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$60.90at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$59.51at 0.556Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:18 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0660000007 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 02:52 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.067322047 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 09:38 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 09:31 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.08 | $19.00 |
| 08-01 04:50 | Will Rot-Weiss Essen win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 03:45 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $48.75 |
| 08-01 03:07 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999937 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 15:40 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 09:11 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0891088948 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 03:17 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 03:41 | Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 07-26 03:59 | Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? | BUY | 0.0499001996 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 09:04 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.4599999888 | $19.79 |
| 07-24 04:52 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.11 | $21.11 |