gt197
0x6fd089a1556cdda1ad5efef08f997a03c7c0a85b
- Realised P&L
- $42.3k
- Volume
- $2.37M
- Markets traded
- 2,213
- Open portfolio
- $16.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,213
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.072Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 3?
- +$2.2kat 0.178Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.2kat 0.043Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
- +$2.2kat 0.095Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.1kat 0.154Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 19:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.9k |
| 07-24 19:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.0k |
| 07-24 18:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 07-24 14:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24? | SELL | 0.321 | $3.21 |
| 07-22 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.038 | $4.71 |
| 07-15 20:35 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2375 | $47.50 |
| 07-11 23:38 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.065 | $32.50 |
| 07-10 15:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.6 | $180.00 |
| 07-10 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.4 | $68.80 |
| 07-10 14:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 10? | SELL | 0.4261076523 | $108.14 |
| 06-30 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.741 | $296.40 |
| 06-29 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.0096201838 | $16.43 |
| 06-27 11:35 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.045 | $76.97 |
| 06-27 06:45 | Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.66 | $125.40 |
| 06-25 13:29 | Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.74 | $140.60 |