aioisala
0x6ff018363ba9e2e1298c37d0848ac85d5de0d1d1
- Realised P&L
- $-524.62
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $74.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.465 | 0.105 | $46.25 | −$158.65 |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.080 | $28.00 | −$213.47 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.81at 0.655Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$11.92at 0.965Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$5.77at 0.510Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.33at 0.720Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$1.04at 0.988Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-16 15:16 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $241.47 |
| 03-16 15:16 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.75 | $241.45 |
| 03-16 07:17 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.81 | $54.19 |
| 03-16 07:10 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $89.30 |
| 03-16 07:07 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5364825258 | $135.09 |
| 03-16 07:06 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.321 | $80.81 |
| 01-31 10:41 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6986538158 | $120.00 |
| 01-28 11:59 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8809999953 | $160.17 |
| 01-28 11:34 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $94.79 |
| 12-30 04:22 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 12-30 04:21 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $70.38 |
| 12-30 04:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.988 | $93.75 |
| 12-30 04:03 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $93.75 |
| 12-30 04:03 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $93.84 |
| 12-30 03:59 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $93.85 |