US-Phenom
0x71878dddb3cfa8744e47dcfa983b62eaac45f08b
- Realised P&L
- $9.1k
- Volume
- $3.62M
- Markets traded
- 1,287
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,287
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.728Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.568US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.474Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.3kat 0.116Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$2.2kat 0.293Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:21 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.6k |
| 07-28 12:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.6k |
| 07-28 12:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.241 | $1.23 |
| 07-27 11:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1959998738 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 10:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $764.80 |
| 07-26 14:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 12:50 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $416.00 |
| 07-26 12:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 12:24 | Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.84 |
| 07-22 14:17 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.951 | $23.44 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7729999831 | $4.31 |
| 07-19 21:49 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7769998625 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:49 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7789999944 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:46 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8029999764 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 16:13 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5925 | $100.73 |