LeonMusk
0x71b1e39cd44878c76074af783c8065210e41ac2c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $555.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,701
- Open portfolio
- $35.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,701
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.00at 0.083Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured by Sunday?
- +$360.27at 0.105Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?
- +$198.72at 0.017Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$175.80at 0.232Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?
- +$169.42at 0.083Pacers vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 23:40 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 08-01 20:12 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 07-31 21:35 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $19.60 |
| 07-31 20:08 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 16:59 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 07-31 14:04 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-31 13:55 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-31 06:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 07-30 19:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 07-30 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 07-30 16:45 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-30 15:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 07-30 15:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 07-30 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.80 |
| 07-30 15:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |