PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LeonMusk

0x71b1e39cd44878c76074af783c8065210e41ac2c

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$555.0k
Markets traded
3,701
Open portfolio
$35.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,701
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2460.215$12.90$1.85
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2680.310$12.40+$1.70
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3100.210$7.35$3.49
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.6700.640$3.20$0.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · Yes0.2900.009$0.13$4.22
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) · Cavaliers0.1320.000$0.00$1.98
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds0.1600.000$0.00$4.80
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs0.2200.000$0.00$2.20
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$3.60
Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs0.2150.000$0.00$2.13
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) · Thunder0.0320.000$0.00$2.92
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20? · No0.2150.000$0.00$5.58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1? · No0.0280.000$0.00$2.12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 22 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$4.65
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 23:40Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.16$4.80
08-01 20:12Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5BUY0.56$11.20
07-31 21:35Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5BUY0.56$19.60
07-31 20:08New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.2$3.00
07-31 16:59New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.6$18.00
07-31 14:04S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 31?BUY0.21$1.05
07-31 13:55S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 31?BUY0.27$1.35
07-31 06:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?BUY0.07$0.42
07-30 19:00S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 30?SELL0.72$7.20
07-30 16:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?BUY0.12$1.20
07-30 16:45S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 30?SELL0.27$1.35
07-30 15:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?BUY0.15$1.50
07-30 15:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?BUY0.29$4.35
07-30 15:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?BUY0.005$0.80
07-30 15:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?BUY0.005$1.00