0x653d63e4f2d7112a19f5eb993890a3f27b48ada5
0x721781a57664fdf84ee119b4efb7d26bbc8ffdbd
- Realised P&L
- $-47.8k
- Volume
- $3.73M
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.836Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
- +$2.2kat 0.802Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?
- +$1.8kat 0.120Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
- +$1.6kat 0.636US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.053Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 23:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.779 | $565.83 |
| 07-23 16:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $368.09 |
| 07-22 01:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.6k |
| 07-21 00:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $335.95 |
| 07-12 01:27 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0625 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 15:15 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 04-04 08:20 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $332.00 |
| 04-04 08:20 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.035 | $70.00 |
| 04-04 08:17 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0082157475 | $82.16 |
| 04-04 08:17 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0175442866 | $175.44 |
| 04-04 08:16 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.3k |
| 04-04 08:15 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.9k |
| 04-03 00:28 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.77885252 | $3.9k |
| 04-03 00:26 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.7k |
| 04-02 02:10 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.85 |