WeFoundLove
0x723067f2605ff6c1fa407815e07c5d75c091f3d0
- Realised P&L
- $59.45
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes | 0.974 | 1.000 | $2.5k | +$64.86 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.075 | $135.00 | −$27.00 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.144 | 0.245 | $97.23 | +$39.89 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.685 | $41.10 | +$8.70 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.345 | $34.49 | +$1.49 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.213 | $21.35 | +$0.55 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.024 | $20.21 | −$29.48 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.992 | $19.84 | +$3.84 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.365 | $18.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.290 | $14.50 | −$7.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.022 | $11.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.68at 0.150Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?
- +$71.00at 0.160Will "The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- +$28.16at 0.060Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$22.20at 0.642Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026?
- +$19.25at 0.572Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $162.00 |
| 08-01 21:04 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.044 | $22.00 |
| 08-01 20:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9865398163 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 19:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9828246176 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 17:48 | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 17:45 | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 17:43 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 09:36 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 07-25 13:01 | UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 07-22 19:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | BUY | 0.9639999967 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 19:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | BUY | 0.9647172076 | $300.00 |
| 07-10 15:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.116325506 | $58.16 |
| 07-04 15:45 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m? | SELL | 0.0786763713 | $24.48 |
| 07-04 10:57 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m? | BUY | 0.13 | $14.46 |
| 06-20 14:29 | Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.66 |