0x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-1783215702812
0x72727f158295dca92da2e71f406399d1cb351a25
- Realised P&L
- $-120.25
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $269.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No | 0.516 | 0.795 | $162.16 | +$56.86 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.606 | $96.49 | −$45.30 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? · No | 0.176 | 0.185 | $10.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.39 |
| Will Trump say "Moon" at Defense and Innovation Summit? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.54 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.68at 0.710Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$17.04at 0.540Will Trump say "Venezuela" at Defense and Innovation Summit?
- +$15.94at 0.904Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$15.02at 0.909Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$13.25at 0.919Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 17:26 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 15:10 | Will FOKUS Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $24.56 |
| 07-23 15:52 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | SELL | 0.0310350323 | $32.33 |
| 07-23 15:17 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.0356176138 | $37.10 |
| 07-22 16:55 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0529999976 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 15:08 | Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? | BUY | 0.1765419839 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:15 | Will Charli XCX perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.002500524 | $0.81 |
| 07-14 19:31 | Will Charli XCX perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.0180000001 | $5.84 |
| 07-14 19:23 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.8899999798 | $41.79 |
| 07-14 19:22 | Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.9119999869 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:22 | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.9089999992 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:22 | Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.9189999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:22 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.8896571236 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.8999699653 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.909 | $100.00 |