PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gambler13

0x73192b9597c4496f8c338b36239bdf4218ac0299

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$2.28M
Markets traded
344
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded344
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$554.83$453.95
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3700.290$390.04$107.60
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0300.022$224.97$74.99
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.1900.145$32.63$10.13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.0070.004$10.77$8.88
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0100.004$7.31$12.81
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? · Yes0.0210.005$0.76$2.13
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.72
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$73.27
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$14.78
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00$162.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 21:24Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?SELL0.11$9.12
07-17 18:50Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?SELL0.1502029743$29.90
07-17 18:23Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?BUY0.1937597323$395.44
07-17 18:23Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.34792017$794.08
07-15 12:36Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.35$402.50
07-15 11:44Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.34$13.40
07-15 11:39Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.13$218.91
07-15 11:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1$0.50
07-15 11:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.1k
07-13 21:52US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.19$4.81
07-04 15:21Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?SELL0.006$0.60
07-04 10:05Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.0072993298$21.22
07-04 10:04Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?BUY0.0096335433$20.12
07-01 09:24Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?SELL0.9803817765$77.04
06-30 19:29Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?BUY0.051$1.44