CoinTrick
0x731a241767938bb23d1b2fac4c9cd2f3cea9033f
- Realised P&L
- $61.1k
- Volume
- $12.03M
- Markets traded
- 7,068
- Open portfolio
- $28.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,068
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.0k | +$7.48 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $11.5k | +$5.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,050 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $262.87 | +$0.29 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $262.79 | +$0.13 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $231.70 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.026Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.644SPY Opens Up or Down on July 23?
- +$3.0kat 0.240Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 25 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.778Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
- +$2.2kat 0.908SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,050 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9984030418 | $262.58 |
| 08-02 10:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $383.88 |
| 08-02 03:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $228.60 |
| 08-02 03:39 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 08-01 20:28 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-01 18:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.94 |
| 08-01 18:18 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $123.75 |
| 08-01 17:27 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |
| 08-01 17:20 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by July 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $355.51 |
| 08-01 17:20 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by July 31? | BUY | 0.9907349756 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 17:19 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 08-01 17:15 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $220.90 |
| 08-01 17:14 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | BUY | 0.9987154447 | $11.1k |
| 08-01 17:00 | Will Epic Games have the third highest private market valuation on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $137.71 |
| 08-01 17:00 | Will Kraken have the third highest private market valuation on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $107.74 |