tetrose
0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d
- Realised P&L
- $405.6k
- Volume
- $46.42M
- Markets traded
- 559
- Open portfolio
- $347.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded559
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$521.6kat 0.100US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$91.8kat 0.289Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$37.7kat 0.035Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$29.1kat 0.556Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
- +$25.4kat 0.326US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.22 | $52.32 |
| 08-02 12:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.21 | $316.55 |
| 08-02 10:23 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.0973348798 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 06:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.2k |
| 08-02 06:31 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 06:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 06:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2557914605 | $8.0k |
| 08-02 06:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.131495347 | $9.0k |
| 08-02 05:21 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $80.00 |
| 08-02 05:21 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $120.00 |
| 08-02 05:20 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $120.00 |
| 08-02 05:20 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.048 | $41.72 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $372.63 |
| 08-02 03:49 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $10.6k |
| 08-02 02:45 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1161359877 | $1.9k |