Firewell
0x74552d0755d9da4be3fffa8d7f10958d520f0432
- Realised P&L
- $96.21
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $53.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.74at 0.206Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
- +$57.20at 0.241Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$55.38at 0.155Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$55.35at 0.351Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$46.98at 0.440Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:20 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999818 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 21:19 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.5354645144 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 05:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 05:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.5827210884 | $21.41 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0979211821 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2433927387 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 16:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0019729484 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:36 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 20:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.44 |
| 07-31 11:10 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 18:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.41 |
| 07-29 16:16 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 07-29 07:26 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |