Djfere
0x768c6fa17d2809b50f0b458550b795dee9bc015d
- Realised P&L
- $-50.2k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $33.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.075 | $33.9k | −$29.1k |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$966.73 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.6k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.6k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.9kat 0.200US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$20.2kat 0.198US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$7.3kat 0.180Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-166.15at 0.044Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 14:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.0k |
| 06-23 14:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |
| 06-22 10:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.7k |
| 05-17 06:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $14.5k |
| 05-16 20:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.3k |
| 04-18 15:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.1k |
| 04-03 06:58 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $984.70 |
| 04-03 06:57 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $984.70 |
| 04-03 06:56 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.0k |
| 04-01 05:16 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.197705289 | $5.0k |
| 03-14 15:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.6k |
| 03-14 14:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.0k |
| 03-05 19:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $8.9k |
| 02-26 17:47 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.6k |
| 02-14 17:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.19985872 | $1.5k |