PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Djfere

0x768c6fa17d2809b50f0b458550b795dee9bc015d

Realised P&L
$-50.2k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$33.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1390.075$33.9k$29.1k
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? · No0.0480.000$0.00$966.73
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$44.6k
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$5.6k
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$2.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$19.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 14:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$9.0k
06-23 14:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$1.0k
06-22 10:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$4.7k
05-17 06:22Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.17$14.5k
05-16 20:40Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.18$5.3k
04-18 15:36Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.18$5.1k
04-03 06:58US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.2$984.70
04-03 06:57Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.038$984.70
04-03 06:56US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.2$5.0k
04-01 05:16US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.197705289$5.0k
03-14 15:51Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.26$1.6k
03-14 14:56Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.26$20.0k
03-05 19:45Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.39$8.9k
02-26 17:47Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.18$1.6k
02-14 17:42Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.19985872$1.5k