PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ArchBishopSusan

0x76c8f559d4c52efb05fea6019b68c3ccc3880439

Realised P&L
$-9.1k
Volume
$802.5k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1200.146$2.1k+$371.00
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.051$606.00+$6.00
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.024$552.09+$52.13
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.007$300.00+$20.00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0340.030$237.38$25.00
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.005$223.93$913.79
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$146.00$204.40
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.013$132.20$91.79
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$105.20$47.82
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$87.50$122.50
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.009$79.22$101.79
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$56.25$43.75
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$50.00$50.00
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.004$50.00$50.00
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.004$35.00$65.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 23:00Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.0105172281$56.85
07-11 21:55Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1849999999$1000.00
05-06 19:14Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0226412873$200.00
05-06 19:13Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.020704189$200.00
05-06 19:12Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0591551322$1.1k
05-06 19:10Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$100.00
05-04 06:36Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0119999997$44.45
05-04 06:34Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999998$50.00
05-04 06:34Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999998$50.00
05-03 21:27Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$22.42
05-03 21:20Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.075$16.10
04-02 15:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2109999999$1.0k
04-02 06:42Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$100.00
04-02 06:41Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$100.00
04-02 06:41Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$100.00