ArchBishopSusan
0x76c8f559d4c52efb05fea6019b68c3ccc3880439
- Realised P&L
- $-9.1k
- Volume
- $802.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.166Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$628.18at 0.027Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$322.00at 0.290Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$232.28at 0.824US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
- +$204.15at 0.677Will Trump say 'Putin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 23:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.0105172281 | $56.85 |
| 07-11 21:55 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1849999999 | $1000.00 |
| 05-06 19:14 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0226412873 | $200.00 |
| 05-06 19:13 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.020704189 | $200.00 |
| 05-06 19:12 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0591551322 | $1.1k |
| 05-06 19:10 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 06:36 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0119999997 | $44.45 |
| 05-04 06:34 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999998 | $50.00 |
| 05-04 06:34 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999998 | $50.00 |
| 05-03 21:27 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $22.42 |
| 05-03 21:20 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.075 | $16.10 |
| 04-02 15:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2109999999 | $1.0k |
| 04-02 06:42 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $100.00 |
| 04-02 06:41 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $100.00 |
| 04-02 06:41 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $100.00 |