Favorto
0x76d834b64b854b1bfb9e168be2b184f47e4968fc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $223.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.054 | $8.5k | −$2.6k |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.065 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.920 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.021 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 03:59 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $15.67 |
| 07-11 03:59 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $24.09 |
| 07-11 03:59 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $26.06 |
| 07-07 02:55 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.51 |
| 07-07 02:55 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0623905374 | $22.92 |
| 07-07 02:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $525.14 |
| 07-07 02:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $13.45 |
| 07-07 02:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $38.29 |
| 07-06 18:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0739957957 | $485.23 |
| 07-06 18:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0722174667 | $474.93 |
| 07-06 18:16 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0689457931 | $804.86 |
| 07-06 17:20 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $23.41 |
| 07-06 17:20 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $22.53 |
| 07-06 17:20 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $35.15 |
| 07-06 17:20 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $2.94 |