Sayl7Seas
0x77a634e0a598b62226bc50401002734fecd63606
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $64.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.425 | $1.3k | −$171.36 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.525 | $802.05 | −$22.92 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.500 | $750.00 | +$85.93 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$588.44 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? · No | 0.637 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$425.12 |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$257.52 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.60 |
| Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.00 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel · Schimel | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? · No | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.503Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.465Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$699.32at 0.499Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$516.63at 0.691Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$238.44at 0.910Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 00:25 | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $35.36 |
| 06-17 00:24 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $137.50 |
| 06-03 00:29 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.179994351 | $175.25 |
| 06-03 00:29 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-03 00:29 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.42 |
| 06-03 00:28 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-03 00:28 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.29 |
| 06-03 00:27 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-03 00:27 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $9.69 |
| 06-03 00:26 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-03 00:26 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $11.73 |
| 06-03 00:24 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 06-03 00:24 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-03 00:24 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $24.65 |
| 06-03 00:23 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.2 | $215.96 |