cigirtkanus
0x783e9b045d856f872d2d7341ed9339db8c1d2b05
- Realised P&L
- $-103.80
- Volume
- $478.73
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $112.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? · Yes | 0.711 | 0.744 | $112.35 | +$4.89 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.12at 0.886Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 13:45 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | SELL | 0.0361799471 | $5.47 |
| 07-24 19:49 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.625 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 19:48 | Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce? | SELL | 0.908 | $5.12 |
| 07-22 17:04 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4839999774 | $6.84 |
| 07-21 10:59 | Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce? | BUY | 0.8859999933 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 09:29 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.736263736 | $105.00 |
| 07-21 02:44 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.6919999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 02:31 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.6919999837 | $4.91 |