Len9311238
0x78b9ac44a6d7d7a076c14e0ad518b301b63c6b76
- Realised P&L
- $8.71M
- Volume
- $16.40M
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar53.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.28Mat 0.409Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$1.93Mat 0.385Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$1.29Mat 0.625Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$857.6kat 0.412Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$288.7kat 0.651Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 03:34 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.3k |
| 11-04 17:53 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.572 | $22.9k |
| 11-01 22:11 | Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.7k |
| 11-01 22:11 | Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? | BUY | 0.32 | $876.22 |
| 11-01 22:10 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.595 | $8.8k |
| 11-01 22:10 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.33 | $130.3k |
| 11-01 22:09 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.33 | $17.0k |
| 11-01 22:09 | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3289159267 | $3.4k |
| 11-01 22:08 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.594 | $16.1k |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.593 | $4.5k |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5948104365 | $9.0k |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.595 | $152.02 |
| 11-01 22:06 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.597 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 22:06 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.597 | $18.2k |
| 11-01 22:06 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.596 | $10.3k |