IwaSperm00
0x78bd412b8acd4d42d3c784e904429e58da876f69
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $183.4k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.241Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$605.37at 0.108Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
- +$430.63at 0.791Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$360.29at 0.408Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$260.56at 0.380Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:17 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.048 | $4.93 |
| 08-03 08:17 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 08-01 18:02 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $48.84 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $165.27 |
| 08-01 17:37 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 08-01 17:01 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $11.30 |
| 08-01 16:33 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $132.22 |
| 08-01 16:13 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $15.40 |
| 08-01 16:13 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $130.88 |
| 08-01 16:11 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $117.95 |
| 08-01 13:27 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 13:23 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $26.45 |
| 08-01 13:22 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2723467572 | $16.84 |
| 08-01 13:12 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $240.50 |