PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

qhult8yfqgpd

0x78c298df672c36b0ec135bcc13353092d91722cf

Realised P&L
$-177.51
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.89$130.97
08-03 03:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.95$80.79
08-03 03:57Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?BUY0.9881792761$37.46
08-03 03:57Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?BUY0.9339999985$12.56
08-02 16:47Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.8199999188$8.48
08-02 15:52Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.3399999182$1.58
08-02 12:13Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.3399999082$1.63
08-02 12:13Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.3399998769$1.16
08-02 12:13Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.3399998048$1.01
08-02 09:47Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?BUY0.9719999996$21.47
08-02 03:51Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.35$1.26
08-01 21:17Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.6599999671$4.42
08-01 21:17Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.659999965$3.77
08-01 21:17Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.6599994147$1.06
08-01 21:17Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.6599999764$4.47