RustyScissors
0x78c592bd51493e169bc8e1f69be7b6299b66f623
- Realised P&L
- $745.32
- Volume
- $398.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,306
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,306
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.79at 0.010Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
- +$115.20at 0.010Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20, 2026?
- +$49.44at 0.061Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
- +$44.14at 0.010Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$42.30at 0.201Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:52 | Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.86 |
| 08-02 21:22 | Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | SELL | 0.735 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 19:33 | Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | SELL | 0.148 | $0.29 |
| 08-02 19:05 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.66 |
| 08-02 18:34 | Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | SELL | 0.779 | $7.62 |
| 08-02 17:33 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $9.16 |
| 08-02 16:32 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $7.82 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 13:33 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.34 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.38 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.70 |
| 08-02 10:59 | Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.58 | $9.65 |
| 08-02 10:30 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $7.80 |