kxelvryyo
0x78cbd44fc90bd0a21c5d4fbf467d7f65502ef366
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $988.4k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $4.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $1.32 | −$5.88 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.99 | −$4.97 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $0.86 | +$0.12 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.51 | −$2.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.31 | −$1.54 |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.26 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$0.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$0.23 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? · No | 0.002 | 0.003 | $0.01 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.003SPY Opens Up or Down on July 23?
- +$162.11at 0.003Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 27?
- +$22.02at 0.003Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 20?
- +$20.33at 0.002Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 23?
- +$18.57at 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?