PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Altria

0x793d214fd47833e96d6abdf866ae62512fd18720

Realised P&L
$-16.0k
Volume
$802.0k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$100.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.5500.555$100.91+$0.91
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$15.67
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$19.31
Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$729.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:15US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.55$100.00
08-03 00:13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?SELL0.0062863628$87.05
08-03 00:13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.03407168$42.59
08-03 00:12US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.0193474686$98.67
07-28 01:40Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.008$71.02
07-28 01:10Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.016$8.00
07-28 01:09Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.0170225989$15.07
07-28 01:08Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.02$36.07
07-28 01:07US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.002$43.37
07-26 11:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.004$6.00
07-25 11:00Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0174530564$5.28
07-25 04:11Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0459859674$49.12
07-25 02:43Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?SELL0.06$39.42
07-25 02:41Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0524631563$7.03
07-25 02:38US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.05$250.00