PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xOTd

0x79a899a6c52addf90a67092091e24c407355bb66

Realised P&L
$833.47
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? · No0.9500.973$486.25+$11.25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.875$437.50+$7.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9370.979$391.60+$16.80
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9210.982$294.45+$18.15
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes0.8300.890$222.50+$15.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · No0.7600.760$152.00+$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8800.875$148.75$0.85
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? · No0.9200.989$148.35+$10.35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.655$131.00$7.00
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · No0.5300.690$120.98+$28.05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.7001.000$99.95+$29.95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9400.999$99.85+$5.85
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · No0.9400.955$95.50+$1.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9500.945$94.50$0.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · No0.9400.935$93.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:420 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.91$36.40
08-03 06:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.88$149.60
08-03 06:09Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.95$95.00
07-31 06:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.65$65.00
07-31 06:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.94$94.00
07-29 10:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$138.00
07-29 09:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.946$189.20
07-28 19:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?SELL0.68$50.54
07-27 08:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.945$189.00
07-25 20:24Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.65$65.00
07-25 20:23Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.75$75.00
07-25 20:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.967$48.35
07-25 20:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?BUY0.91$45.50
07-25 20:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?BUY0.93$46.50
07-25 20:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?BUY0.85$34.00