0x7a2efee5eb7a843ca03d03b82b84f423eed64aee
- Realised P&L
- $-99.10
- Volume
- $81.3k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $10.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.43at 0.979Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$12.70at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$12.69at 0.548Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$6.99at 0.611Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$5.19at 0.490Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 17:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.91 | $8.95 |
| 08-02 08:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.69 |
| 08-01 17:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.7199998416 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 17:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 17:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 04:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 13:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.18 |
| 07-31 11:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 11:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |