0x7a65A490D1cCFBB2b7D8F954873955Cf9aF755A4-1768439475771
0x7a65a490d1ccfbb2b7d8f954873955cf9af755a4
- Realised P&L
- $161.43
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $658.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.171 | 0.188 | $492.94 | +$42.94 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.055 | $103.29 | −$96.71 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.075 | $40.91 | −$19.09 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.010 | $20.93 | −$79.07 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$496.29at 0.130Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$68.74at 0.127Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.51at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$0.41at 0.916Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$-1.00at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 12:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999985 | $60.00 |
| 07-13 10:08 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 13? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 22:33 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999894 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 22:32 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999932 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 22:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1269999897 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 22:19 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1064955307 | $200.00 |
| 07-01 22:43 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.0299999997 | $94.99 |
| 07-01 22:41 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.172968442 | $400.00 |
| 06-29 22:14 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1579999974 | $50.00 |
| 06-18 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |