PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

atomicannie

0x7a8048a6618824bb607b293bf03cb62b7174729c

Realised P&L
$8.0k
Volume
$2.00M
Markets traded
479
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded479
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.4320.805$2.5k+$1.2k
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No0.4511.000$772.00+$423.83
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3010.250$275.00$56.00
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1? · No0.9661.000$238.62+$8.11
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.3930.265$228.21$110.54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · No0.6401.000$200.00+$72.00
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · Yes0.1201.000$200.00+$176.00
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.8470.972$174.02+$22.35
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? · No0.1761.000$156.00+$128.53
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.140$113.95$28.42
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.6490.220$79.56$155.22
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0310.045$63.76+$20.47
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0110.015$55.44+$12.81
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0250.011$50.90$60.29
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.015$50.88+$3.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 14:20Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.001$7.32
04-24 14:20Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.001$17.87
04-17 12:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?BUY0.22$30.94
04-17 12:22S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?BUY0.04$0.59
04-17 10:15Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.0193958289$46.89
04-17 10:14Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.0136498304$8.13
04-17 10:13Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.055$11.00
04-17 10:13Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.0498673027$5.75
04-17 10:13Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.0208375209$23.51
04-17 10:13Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.009$6.19
04-17 10:12Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0039845064$70.06
04-17 10:11Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0077450583$1.95
04-15 09:39Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?BUY0.0201282202$3.70
04-11 13:52Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?BUY0.0260880374$2.52
04-11 13:52Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?BUY0.0279050332$5.31