PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Avitz33

0x7a90bfdb1c7bbb30ab19fdd48a6b49dede972ff9

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$700.3k
Markets traded
1,097
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,097
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.4930.395$750.50$185.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2400.205$164.00$28.00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.0990.375$161.23+$118.64
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31? · Yes0.1370.455$155.93+$109.12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1660.161$145.36$4.08
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2750.210$134.34$41.35
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.160$112.01$0.00
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2810.306$107.34+$8.82
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0700.110$107.14+$38.96
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.0900.095$104.90+$5.52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.2140.200$97.52$7.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0700.055$66.00$18.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1810.269$62.32+$20.39
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1670.152$59.93$5.56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? · Yes0.4800.135$57.52$146.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.22$44.00
08-01 18:41Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?BUY0.18$54.02
08-01 18:12Will Venezuela become 51st state?BUY0.031375$2.51
08-01 15:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.45$83.03
07-31 21:31Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$8.15
07-31 21:18Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.17$32.02
07-31 21:16US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.09$99.38
07-31 21:15Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.038$1.95
07-31 21:14Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.0548823529$18.66
07-31 21:14Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0329838$49.48
07-31 21:08Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.1235941892$39.14
07-31 21:08Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.07$84.00
07-31 21:07Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.16$74.14
07-31 21:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.24$120.00
07-31 21:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.36$132.84