Avitz33
0x7a90bfdb1c7bbb30ab19fdd48a6b49dede972ff9
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $700.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,097
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,097
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.224Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.097Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.1kat 0.540Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$852.98at 0.109Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$691.50at 0.128Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 08-01 18:41 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $54.02 |
| 08-01 18:12 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.031375 | $2.51 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.45 | $83.03 |
| 07-31 21:31 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $8.15 |
| 07-31 21:18 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $32.02 |
| 07-31 21:16 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $99.38 |
| 07-31 21:15 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 21:14 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0548823529 | $18.66 |
| 07-31 21:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0329838 | $49.48 |
| 07-31 21:08 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.1235941892 | $39.14 |
| 07-31 21:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $84.00 |
| 07-31 21:07 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $74.14 |
| 07-31 21:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 21:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.36 | $132.84 |