luckyrichy
0x7a98a0c95d331958efe4c6eaaf880939677eee64
- Realised P&L
- $-403.06
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $41.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.011 | $37.26 | −$67.70 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.036 | 0.026 | $4.54 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.05at 0.080US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$20.60at 0.259US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$19.33at 0.170US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$10.26at 0.380Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$5.60at 0.110Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:52 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0361818185 | $6.20 |
| 07-15 21:37 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.35 | $6.20 |
| 05-29 22:02 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | SELL | 0.15 | $0.68 |
| 05-29 15:49 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.2747775281 | $30.57 |
| 05-29 15:49 | Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0187951687 | $9.58 |
| 05-29 15:48 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0445385567 | $9.36 |
| 05-28 00:20 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0272569757 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 15:44 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.022 | $3.30 |
| 05-20 18:08 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2999999864 | $11.00 |
| 05-20 18:07 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.022 | $3.30 |
| 05-19 16:20 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 18:54 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0270000003 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 14:52 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0204877851 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 20:49 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.026 | $3.38 |
| 05-17 17:08 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |