0xCDC73833D44d041eEe9770884d7FF01E76b681Ce-1778543700868
0x7bd506d26c90b638bc23220a4a8eee509a555ab8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $58.2k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $127.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.013 | $45.90 | +$1.70 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.013 | $42.50 | −$1.70 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.011 | $39.10 | −$5.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.23at 0.011Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.96at 0.988Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.38at 0.997Will Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
- +$3.54at 0.992Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$1.44at 0.997Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 18:18 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $153.34 |
| 07-28 18:17 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $188.81 |
| 07-28 18:16 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 07-24 18:42 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $497.51 |
| 07-15 18:20 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $497.07 |
| 07-07 21:17 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.988 | $490.92 |
| 07-05 04:44 | Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.992 | $387.48 |
| 07-03 22:14 | Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.991 | $100.08 |
| 06-30 00:46 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $386.74 |
| 06-25 21:35 | Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.999 | $386.38 |
| 06-25 21:34 | Will Solana reach $150 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 06-08 23:42 | Will Trump say "Los Angeles" or "LA" during Tele-Rally? | BUY | 0.998 | $52.56 |
| 06-08 23:41 | Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" during Tele-Rally? | BUY | 0.9966501305 | $38.17 |
| 06-08 23:41 | Will Jordan Clarkson score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.37 |
| 06-08 23:40 | Will White House post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $61.37 |