0x7bd602409Ec2DD60c030c8a8BCBFbBf595CC10D4-1776770537735
0x7bd602409ec2dd60c030c8a8bcbfbbf595cc10d4
- Realised P&L
- $-678.53
- Volume
- $84.8k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$838.81at 0.301Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$455.00at 0.636Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
- +$355.65at 0.676Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?
- +$348.54at 0.651Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$312.70at 0.609SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 21:34 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY | 0.1668070667 | $100.08 |
| 07-13 20:03 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | SELL | 0.1646859286 | $115.28 |
| 07-13 16:34 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $248.00 |
| 07-13 16:33 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | BUY | 0.5449082182 | $272.45 |
| 07-13 16:04 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.718975 | $287.59 |
| 07-13 16:03 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY | 0.7529802841 | $442.64 |
| 07-13 14:14 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY | 0.5489000286 | $384.23 |
| 07-11 20:17 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.6181880025 | $350.00 |
| 07-11 18:53 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? | BUY | 0.2127217268 | $150.00 |
| 07-11 18:52 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $450.00 |
| 07-11 18:07 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.6530082403 | $300.00 |
| 07-09 19:50 | Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8676201697 | $718.03 |
| 07-09 18:56 | Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw? | BUY | 0.87 | $435.00 |
| 07-09 18:54 | Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $102.96 |
| 07-09 18:54 | Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $108.42 |