PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Car

0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b

Realised P&L
$1.50M
Volume
$178.35M
Markets traded
8,073
Open portfolio
$576.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,073
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$369.8k+$136.5k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$96.8k$136.5k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7520.795$28.1k+$1.5k
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.7720.635$8.9k$1.9k
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9700.977$8.3k+$55.13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.6790.945$8.2k+$2.3k
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9120.955$4.9k+$220.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9531.000$4.1k+$188.28
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8810.951$3.1k+$226.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6451.000$2.8k+$977.51
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.9820.999$2.5k+$41.92
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1750.118$2.4k$1.1k
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2510.275$2.3k+$206.40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9260.960$2.2k+$77.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4420.345$2.1k$594.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:46Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4022837684$28.35
08-02 21:15Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.602092$240.84
08-02 18:32Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.91$819.91
08-02 18:10Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6520720607$652.07
08-02 18:10Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6280721234$814.23
08-02 16:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.12$600.00
08-02 16:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.029341928$146.71
08-02 16:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$550.00
08-02 15:36Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.551$110.20
08-02 15:09Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4879549735$1.3k
08-02 13:36Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6339392312$60.19
08-01 22:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.17$85.00
08-01 18:52Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.03
08-01 16:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.94$1.7k
08-01 16:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9371152177$8.2k