Car
0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
- Realised P&L
- $1.50M
- Volume
- $178.35M
- Markets traded
- 8,073
- Open portfolio
- $576.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,073
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.5kat 0.990US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$37.3kat 0.844US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$33.1kat 0.014Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$32.0kat 0.003Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$31.7kat 0.005MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:46 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4022837684 | $28.35 |
| 08-02 21:15 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.602092 | $240.84 |
| 08-02 18:32 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.91 | $819.91 |
| 08-02 18:10 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6520720607 | $652.07 |
| 08-02 18:10 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6280721234 | $814.23 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 16:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.029341928 | $146.71 |
| 08-02 16:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 08-02 15:36 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.551 | $110.20 |
| 08-02 15:09 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4879549735 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 13:36 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6339392312 | $60.19 |
| 08-01 22:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 08-01 18:52 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-01 16:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.7k |
| 08-01 16:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.9371152177 | $8.2k |