53a3
0x7ce926fe3153d96ee94f1176d40916876788bca9
- Realised P&L
- $-46.66
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $65.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $55.61 | −$87.39 |
| Will Ryan O'Hearn win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $1.89 | −$0.01 |
| Will Georgia Amoore win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will Cotie McMahon win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will Kiki Rice win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will Angela Dugalic win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.30 | −$0.00 |
| Will Mickey Moniak win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $1.11 | −$0.00 |
| Will Jurickson Profar win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $1.05 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 3? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.03 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.90at 0.005Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$12.11at 0.009Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.02at 0.717Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$1.75at 0.965Will Biden pardon Edward Snowden?
- +$1.21at 0.981Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 18:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9989990592 | $1.03 |
| 07-02 18:03 | Will Ryan O'Hearn win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.90 |
| 07-02 18:02 | Will Mickey Moniak win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.11 |
| 07-02 18:02 | Will Jurickson Profar win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.05 |
| 07-02 18:00 | Will Kiki Rice win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.30 |
| 07-02 18:00 | Will Georgia Amoore win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.30 |
| 07-02 17:59 | Will Cotie McMahon win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.30 |
| 07-02 17:59 | Will Angela Dugalic win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.30 |
| 05-04 18:18 | Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.80 |
| 05-04 18:17 | Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 18:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 18:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 18:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.40 |
| 05-04 18:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5? | BUY | 0.9979999067 | $1.22 |
| 03-03 05:12 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $143.00 |