PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836

0x7f15f350261a0dfa8bff802df364e33773d552f1

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$164.3k
Markets traded
465
Open portfolio
$831.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded465
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8901.000$384.16+$42.09
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.8500.988$197.60+$27.60
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8800.986$128.18+$13.78
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.9701.000$49.98+$1.48
Will MrBeast hit 141 billion views by August 31? · No0.9600.800$22.00$4.40
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.8300.830$16.60+$0.00
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.3500.987$13.81+$8.91
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.8800.915$12.04+$0.46
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0510.042$6.71$1.44
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$68.01
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10? · No0.2110.000$0.00$46.13
Will Christian Pulisic score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$47.00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$342.54
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.85
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$2.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 15:33Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.5 and 39 million views in week 1?BUY0.999$59.43
08-01 13:17Will MrBeast hit 141 billion views by August 31?BUY0.96$26.40
08-01 13:10Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.83$16.60
08-01 13:09Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.829468839$72.80
07-31 13:02Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?BUY0.999$565.18
07-31 12:56Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.26$33.02
07-31 12:55Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.61$42.70
07-30 21:31Will MrBeast's next video get between 34.5 and 35.0 million views on day 6?BUY0.05$4.50
07-30 16:44Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?BUY0.999$77.22
07-30 16:43Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6?BUY0.48$28.80
07-30 16:29Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6?BUY0.5$10.00
07-30 16:14Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.47$14.10
07-30 16:12Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.82$57.40
07-30 16:11Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.92$63.43
07-30 16:11Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.9227027027$34.14