0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836
0x7f15f350261a0dfa8bff802df364e33773d552f1
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $164.3k
- Markets traded
- 465
- Open portfolio
- $831.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded465
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$551.76at 0.092Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$374.60at 0.278Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$274.15at 0.790Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$196.95at 0.880World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?
- +$192.80at 0.840Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:33 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.5 and 39 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.43 |
| 08-01 13:17 | Will MrBeast hit 141 billion views by August 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $26.40 |
| 08-01 13:10 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-01 13:09 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.829468839 | $72.80 |
| 07-31 13:02 | Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $565.18 |
| 07-31 12:56 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.26 | $33.02 |
| 07-31 12:55 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.61 | $42.70 |
| 07-30 21:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 34.5 and 35.0 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.50 |
| 07-30 16:44 | Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.22 |
| 07-30 16:43 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $28.80 |
| 07-30 16:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 16:14 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 07-30 16:12 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.82 | $57.40 |
| 07-30 16:11 | Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.92 | $63.43 |
| 07-30 16:11 | Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.9227027027 | $34.14 |