ChungusDeluxe
0x7f42ee1692cb2f07c8b80b9b9554103f65ad59ff
- Realised P&L
- $-67.68
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $56.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.081 | $56.25 | −$68.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.08at 0.507Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
- +$24.79at 0.725Will RFK drop out before November?
- +$20.08at 0.820Will Alireza Firouzja win the Speed Chess Championship?
- +$12.64at 0.910Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
- +$4.85at 0.500Biden drops out in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 04:09 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.1799999989 | $125.00 |
| 10-22 19:31 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.341 | $20.46 |
| 10-19 22:46 | Will Kamala Harris go on SNL? | SELL | 0.925 | $6.60 |
| 09-08 17:33 | Will Alireza Firouzja win the Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.82 | $93.02 |
| 09-08 17:33 | Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September? | SELL | 0.982 | $93.02 |
| 08-24 04:29 | Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September? | BUY | 0.9516830885 | $90.15 |
| 08-23 20:26 | Will RFK drop out before November? | BUY | 0.7249999972 | $65.35 |