PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Jsmiler

0x7f4ee83cc77491bd8f13d1f75499a15ec8a52e3e

Realised P&L
$-24.1k
Volume
$680.1k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1610.075$3.0k$3.5k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3300.158$787.88$863.11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1600.055$76.04$145.52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$271.83
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.8k
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.8k
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.8k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$1.0k
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$2.0k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No0.0190.000$0.00$285.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 21:02Epstein client list released by June 30?SELL0.018$0.06
06-12 21:02Iran leadership change by June 30?SELL0.0168996118$67.66
06-12 21:01Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.0046297593$185.68
06-12 21:01Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.002$11.65
06-12 21:00Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.0095420781$162.30
06-12 21:00Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.01$379.99
06-10 21:49Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?BUY0.1892816337$2.0k
06-10 21:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.1328394933$2.0k
06-10 21:08Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1465269964$5.9k
04-28 16:46US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.003$10.00
04-21 13:50Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.037732937$500.00
04-19 19:45Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?BUY0.3901267997$1.0k
04-19 19:44Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?BUY0.1565944466$1000.00
04-18 22:19Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.19$1.9k
04-18 22:15Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.08$2.0k