Jsmiler
0x7f4ee83cc77491bd8f13d1f75499a15ec8a52e3e
- Realised P&L
- $-24.1k
- Volume
- $680.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.120Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$685.35at 0.641US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$5.00at 0.025US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.570US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$0.41at 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 21:02 | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.06 |
| 06-12 21:02 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL | 0.0168996118 | $67.66 |
| 06-12 21:01 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.0046297593 | $185.68 |
| 06-12 21:01 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $11.65 |
| 06-12 21:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.0095420781 | $162.30 |
| 06-12 21:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $379.99 |
| 06-10 21:49 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | BUY | 0.1892816337 | $2.0k |
| 06-10 21:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.1328394933 | $2.0k |
| 06-10 21:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1465269964 | $5.9k |
| 04-28 16:46 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 13:50 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.037732937 | $500.00 |
| 04-19 19:45 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3901267997 | $1.0k |
| 04-19 19:44 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1565944466 | $1000.00 |
| 04-18 22:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.9k |
| 04-18 22:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.0k |