PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KalungaHD

0x7f5fe18cc397367c1e962daa07e35dcd1c885985

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$130.1k
Markets traded
430
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded430
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.3170.425$1.4k+$347.24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.2520.370$586.31+$186.31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.1190.175$441.20+$141.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.6250.875$419.64+$119.64
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7000.770$330.01+$30.00
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · No0.7500.755$302.00+$2.00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1710.125$262.61$97.38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5820.645$221.74+$21.74
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.5150.535$207.70+$7.70
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.4901.000$203.98+$103.98
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$170.39$50.11
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1570.155$159.35$2.15
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$141.67$58.33
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.8000.960$119.94+$19.94
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.1010.120$118.93+$18.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:08Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.069$2.06
08-02 22:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.42$168.00
08-02 03:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.45$90.00
08-02 03:04NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.16$48.00
08-01 17:24Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.08$0.40
08-01 06:15Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.07$6.61
07-31 21:40Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.07$9.10
07-31 21:33Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.0618921253$10.00
07-30 19:24Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-30 19:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4899999991$200.00
07-30 19:08Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.0569793981$88.06
07-30 19:07Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.14$114.38
07-28 18:36Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0832699212$50.00
07-28 18:36Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1095525853$50.00
07-28 17:12Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.2599999935$20.00