PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Pizzaiolo

0x800e6c7432512b84a0b93b55b5030191a98d4595

Realised P&L
$94.76
Volume
$16.1k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$116.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.5300.935$52.92+$22.92
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9010.975$22.41+$1.69
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7030.745$21.24+$1.19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.945$11.39+$1.39
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.275$7.15$2.99
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2100.033$1.57$8.43
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$10.00
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$30.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 13:17Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.887$60.47
07-07 12:38Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8899999986$50.00
06-21 09:37Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?BUY0.5299999972$30.00
04-09 17:48Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?BUY0.928689507$30.00
04-08 17:50Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?SELL0.781715$15.63
04-08 17:50Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?SELL0.895$8.95
04-08 17:49Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.85$8.50
04-08 17:49Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.60699$6.07
04-08 17:49Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.61$4.98
04-08 17:49US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.41$4.10
04-08 17:49Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.39$3.90
04-08 17:49Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.36$3.60
04-08 17:49Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.37$3.70
04-08 17:49Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.31$3.10
04-08 17:49US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.47$2.76