pizzaallosqualo
0x801ba46b0e7ba3f82e6a3cfcedb436318e43e036
- Realised P&L
- $16.5k
- Volume
- $73.47M
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.002Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.6kat 0.006Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$2.5kat 0.002Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.3kat 0.004Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.006Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:24 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $39.57 |
| 07-25 08:31 | Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.007 | $13.15 |
| 07-23 11:00 | Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.63 |
| 07-19 11:04 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.45 |
| 07-15 10:38 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 10:36 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $114.40 |
| 07-14 07:39 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $54.37 |
| 07-14 07:29 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $122.29 |
| 07-07 09:28 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.33 |
| 07-01 12:35 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $274.59 |
| 06-23 22:01 | Will Ghana finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 06-15 00:56 | Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 06-15 00:55 | Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY | 0.5999258138 | $79.25 |
| 06-15 00:55 | Will Ivory Coast finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY | 0.44 | $18.48 |
| 06-14 11:21 | Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.04 |